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Showing posts with the label covid-19

Boosters, Bias and Math

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From vaccine math to biosafety preprints, recent studies reveal that unreported risks and hidden biases shape our understanding of COVID more than most headlines admit. Remember when getting vaccinated against COVID felt simple? One shot, maybe two, and you were done. Fast forward a few years, and we’ve had first doses, second doses, boosters, updated boosters, and debates about whether you need a booster for your booster . But a recent study crunching UK mortality data says: “Hold up. Maybe more shots aren’t adding as much protection as we think.” Add in your earlier research about antibody changes after repeated doses , and suddenly the COVID vaccine story feels less like “science is settled” and more like “science is a detective novel.” Let’s break it down in plain language. A.J. Oostenbrink’s new preprint looked at COVID and non-COVID death rates in the UK over two years. Instead of assuming COVID deaths rise proportionally with overall health risk, they used a formula: D covi...

Nimbus and Stratus: Cloudy With a Chance of Covid

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As we venture into the end of summer, there’s no denying that COVID-19 is making its move again. Covid waves always follow a seasonal pattern  - two waves per year: winter and summer or fall. So far, the smallest (not in terms of deadliness though, just the number of infected) wave hit during the winter of 2020-2021, while the Omicron surge of 2021-2022 took the crown for the biggest wave. Last year was a bit of a wild card, with the summer/fall wave being slightly taller than the winter one. However, so far, this year hasn’t had much of a summer/fall wave (yet) but hold on tight because things are looking a little more intense as we approach the winter. From December 2024 to February 2025, we experienced what could be called "Wave X," a quieter episode compared to earlier waves, but it still made its presence felt. Fast forward to August 2025, and we’re beginning to see the rise of the next wave—a little like what we saw in 2023 and 2024. According to Mike Hoerger’s post on ...

The IgG4 Puzzle: Why Boosters May Weaken One Defense but Strengthen Another

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Post-Vaccination IgG4 and IgG2 Class Switching is linked to Increased Risk of SARS-CoV-2 Infections A new study published in Infectious Disease Practice has revealed a concerning correlation between the class switching of antibodies after COVID-19 mRNA booster vaccinations and a heightened risk of breakthrough infections. Specifically, the study found that elevated levels of IgG4 and IgG2 antibodies, which increase significantly following the third mRNA dose, are linked to an increased risk of symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infections.  The study followed a longitudinal cohort of 83 healthcare workers who received three vaccine doses, with an additional 66 participants analyzed at a specific timepoint (T9, May 2022), four months after the first booster. Conducted in Spain, the research tracked immune responses over nearly three years, revealing that the proportion of non-cytophilic antibodies (IgG4 and IgG2) increased relative to cytophilic subclasses (IgG1 and IgG3) after the booster. Th...

Crossroads of Pathogens: The Evolving Threat of Avian Influenza

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Influenza viruses are infamous for their ability to mutate and adapt, making the study of their evolution critical for public health. Some like H5N1 are severe, others as H7N3 are typically present with mild symptoms. The classification of influenza subtypes relies on the hemagglutinin (H) and neuraminidase (N) proteins on the viral surface, with 18 H subtypes and 11 N subtypes combining into diverse influenza strains. While most pose limited risks to humans, certain mutations can significantly alter their behavior. Case 1: Mutated H5N1 in a Vancouver Teen Canadian teen, who lives in the Fraser Health Region of British Columbia, first developed symptoms on Nov. 2 and was tested on Nov. 8, with a positive result confirmed on Nov. 9.  It was the first positive case of bird flu detected in a human in Canada. The teenager, hospitalized with a mutated H5N1 strain, was unconscious for over two weeks. The teen has made progress and is expected to recover. Alarmingly, this strain exhibits ...

Navigating the Tripledemic: JN.1, RSV, and Flu Update

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The respiratory viruses are out there.  Wastewater viral activity levels for COVID-19 , as reported by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, have reached the highest point since the Omicron surge in 2022. The levels are also high in Canada . The three primary respiratory illnesses continue to circulate at very high levels. But despite the triple threat of  SARS-Cov-2, respiratory syncytial virus ( RSV ) and the flu , there is a notable lack of community attention.   JN.1 (Pirola,  BA.2.86 ,  with additional L455S mutation, descending from a  de-escalated  variant of concern BA.2), initially detected on August 25 2023, has evolved from a variant under monitoring to a  variant of interest. Variants like Acrux (XBB.2.3, that began to spread worldwide soon after WHO declared the end of the pandemic) are  no longer relevant , but a few now less prevalent variants such as  Centaurus  (BA.2.75) and XBB, a hybrid of Centaurus wit...

Remembering Lives Lost in September

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As the world gradually moves forward from the darkest days of the COVID-19 pandemic, we are reminded that the battle is not yet over.  Otari Gogiberidze (July 14, 1971 - September 8, 2023), a renowned plastic surgeon, faced the grim reality of COVID-19 in February 2023. Little did he know that the virus would cast a long shadow over his life. Battling for months with heart complications stemming from long COVID, his fight came to an end on September 8, 2023, when he succumbed to cardiac arrest at the age of 52. Maria das Dores Braga Nunes  (4 April 1941 – 8 September 2023) was a distinguished Brazilian lawyer and politician. Throughout her career, she was associated with various political parties, and she served as a member of the Chamber of Deputies from 1995 to 1999. Additionally, she held the position of mayor in Gurupi. Tragically, on September 8, 2023, at the age of 82, Maria das Dores Braga Nunes lost her life to COVID-19 in Palmas, Tocantins. Her battle with the ...

Evolution of COVID-19 Reinfection and Immunity

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In the early stages of the COVID-19 pandemic, reactivation and reinfection were considered rare. However, as the pandemic progressed, records for the length of infection and number of reinfections began to break. By October 2020, there were five cases of reinfection  with more severe second cases. By the end of 2021, prolonged positive tests were observed, such as a man in Bristol who remained SARS-CoV-2  positive for 290 days . A case report published in May 2023 (aren't academic reports obsolete by the time they are finally published?) asked " Is it possible to get Covid infection 3 times? " in the title. Now this question is rhetorical. In a recent  Malawi study , the risk of reinfection was highest in the immediate 3 to 6 months following the initial infection and declined substantially after that, and age demonstrated a significant association with reinfection. In  Southern Brazil , comparative genomic and phylogenetic analysis confirmed that the fourt...